Financial Risks and Mitigants

TOOL 5.4

Key Questions

  1. Whose numbers am I analysing? (Relate back to Credit Base)
  2. Consolidated/Unconsolidated?
  3. Audited/Unaudited? Unqualified/Qualified? Pro-forma
  4. What are the key accounting policies?
  5. At what date and for what period are the numbers?
  6. What were the key events during the period and after the FYE?
  7. Is there any evidence of creative accounting?
  8. Projections – how reliable are they?

Is this issue a risk?Is this risk mitigated?Is it a natural mitigant for another risk?
ProfitabilityMargins
– Gross / EBIT(DA) Asset Utilisation
– Net Operating Cycle
– Fixed Asset capacity utilisation / efficiency (industry specific)
– Return and income from financial FA’s Labour Efficiency
– Interest Coverage
Liquidity / Cash flowThe impact on Debt Service Capacity of:
– Gross operating cash flow
– Net working capital requirement
– Financing costs – interest, current portion of long term debt, dividends
– Capital expenditure – mandatory or non-mandatory
SolvencyLeverage / Gearing
– Permanence of Capital Structure
– Quality of Assets (Cash generation/ Marketability/ Concentration)
– Stability of Liabilities (Debt maturity profile/ Ability to refinance STD/ Concentration)
– Matching (Currency Exposure/Interest Rates/ Funding vs Asset Profile)
– Off Balance Sheet Items (Contingent Liabilities/ Guarantees/ Options/ Open LCs/ Litigation/ Commitments/ Non- discretionary capex/ Operating leases/ Post FYE events/ Special Lending Structures/ Derivatives)

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