Detection of Early Warning Signals 5

TOOL 1.4

PROPERTY INVESTORS 


Business• Loss of key personnel 
• Major acquisition/divestment 
• Significant increase in or change in nature of competition for the investment property 
• Slow sales/lets compared to plan 
• No evidence of contracted sales/lets 
• Small deposits 
• Price reductions/special offers 
• Oversupply in location 
• Loss of important tenant 
• New legislation/regulations 
• Tax/fiscal changes 
• Change in economic conditions (growth/recession, exchange rates, interest rates) 
• Legal action being taken by or against client 
• Disputes 
• Competitors/peers in problems 
• Negative press/media reports
• Rumours 
• Collapse/rapid change in share price 
• Too many projects 
• Too big a project 
• Management skills/time overstretched 
• Track record of investor shows lack of experience 
• Due diligence on prime movers not undertaken with vigour 
• No evidence of full management team 
• Lack of communication with client 
• Change of managing agent
• Voids • Location • Calibre and financial strength of tenant 
• Strength of lease 
‒ What it covers 
‒ Term 
‒ Break clauses 
‒ Rent reviews 
‒ Obligations 
• Management of common areas 
• Overdue rent reviews 
• Secondary level retailers 
• Investment spread 
• Long term plan? 
• Yield/capitalisation rate
Management• Changes of senior management (especially if unexpected) 
• Lack of strategic plan 
• Frequent strategy changes 
• One man show 
• Lack of succession 
• Complex corporate structure 
• Arrogant behaviour towards funders, creditors, media 
• Unwillingness to provide information
• Lack of openness/honesty 
• “Trophies” – new head offices, expensive sponsorships, ownership of sports teams etc. 
• Poor labour relations 
• Lack of experience mix 
• Remuneration/lifestyle

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